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URW:EURONEXT PARISUnibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE Stapled Secs Cons of 1 Sh Unibail Rodamco + 1 Sh WFD Unib Rod Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

€93.96

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Unibail‑Rodamco‑Westfield (URW) is trading at €93.96, just above its technical support of €92.82 and well below the 52‑week high of €106.65, offering an estimated upside of roughly 18 % versus analyst targets. The stock trades at a **PE of 10.8**, far under the industry average of 32.5, and delivers a **dividend yield of 4.74 %** with a modest 40 % payout, making it attractive for income‑focused investors. Recent earnings releases highlight a sharp improvement in FY‑2025 profit, driven by higher footfall, tenant sales, and record low vacancy, which supports the bullish trend despite a bearish MACD signal and a decreasing volume trend. However, the balance sheet shows a **debt‑to‑equity of 108 %**, indicating leverage risk that must be monitored as the REIT navigates the retail sector’s structural challenges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with limited upside in the near term
  • Decreasing volume trend indicating weaker short‑term liquidity
  • Strong dividend yield providing defensive cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation discount (PE 10.8 vs industry 32.5) and upside to analyst targets
  • Improved FY‑2025 earnings and record low vacancy supporting cash flow
  • Sustainable dividend payout with room for growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity >100 %) could constrain future investments
  • Retail sector secular shift requiring strategic asset repositioning
  • Strong brand (Westfield) and ESG leadership enhancing long‑term resilience

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO6.582911070927512

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI38.8
Support€92.82
Resistance€106.65
MA 20€100.56
MA 50€96.43
MA 200€89.67
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility27.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.